The market moved
-10.3ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 13?
Weather · resolves May 13 · vol $2.0K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.3pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 7.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
