The market moved

-24.1ppin 24h · now

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on May 15?

Weather · resolves May 15 · vol $120.09

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.1pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-24.1pp · Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on May 15? | Orrery