Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 12¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on earthquake.usgs.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: earthquake.usgs.gov — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=32.54681,-121.05835&extent=35.63944,-114.90601).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.