The market moved

-1.1ppin 24h · now

Major solar storm by April 30?

Other · resolves Apr 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.1pp shift. Resolution depends on information from the national oceanic and atmospheric administration's space weather prediction center under the heading — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading — https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.