The market moved
-4.5ppin 24h · now 7¢
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve — https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/lbr/current/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.