Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 28¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 22.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.