The market moved
-14.0ppin 24h · now 22¢
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 22¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.0pp shift. Resolution depends on credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: credible reporting — https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/nyregion/grocery-stores-city-owned.html).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.