The market moved

-62.5ppin 24h · now

FathUnionSport vs. US Yacoub El Mansour: O/U 1.5

Sports · resolves Jul 5 · vol $575.24

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 62.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.