The market moved

-7.4ppin 24h · now

IR Tanger vs. Raja Club Athletic: O/U 5.5

Sports · resolves Jun 28 · vol $10.53

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.4pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 4.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.