The market moved
-3.5ppin 24h · now 18¢
RCA Zemamra vs. US Yacoub El Mansour: O/U 3.5
Sports · resolves Jun 3 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 18¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 7.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.