The market moved
-43.0ppin 24h · now 7¢
US Yacoub El Mansour vs. Raja Club Athletic: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Other · resolves Jun 25 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 43.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 21.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.