March Madness: 11 first round upsets?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.4pp shift. Resolution depends on the number of “upsets” that occur in the first round of the 2025 march madness tournament — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the number of “upsets” that occur in the first round of the 2025 March Madness Tournament.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.