The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now 23¢

Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 9.5%-10.5%?

Other · resolves Jul 30 · vol $250.15

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 23¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to mastercard's cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarte — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to Mastercard's cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarte.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.