The market moved
-15.0ppin 24h · now 18¢
Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5%-8.5%?
Macro · resolves Jul 30 · vol $120.03
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 18¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 15.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to mastercard's gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarte — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to Mastercard's gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarte.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.