The market moved

+3.5ppin 24h · now 14¢

Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 8.5%-9.5%?

Macro · resolves Jul 30 · vol $59.60

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 14¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to mastercard's gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarte — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to Mastercard's gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarte.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.