The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 18¢
Megaquake by July 31?
Other · resolves Jul 31 · vol $923.76
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 18¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the latest provided data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the latest provided data — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.