The market moved
-0.4ppin 24h · now 0¢
Megaquake in December?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on earthquake.usgs.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: earthquake.usgs.gov — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.