The market moved

-15.5ppin 24h · now 72¢

Will Meta (META) finish week of July 20 above $600?

Other · resolves Jul 24 · vol $23.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 72¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 15.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 30.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.