The market moved
-3.9ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Meta (META) close above $590 on August 18?
Other · resolves Aug 18 · vol $56.06
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.9pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 0.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.