The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now

Mexico tariffs on China in effect before July?

Geopolitics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on fortune.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: fortune.com — https://fortune.com/2025/02/24/mexico-weighs-china-tariffs-trump-deal-claudia-sheinbaum/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.