The market moved

-8.9ppin 24h · now

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?

Crypto · resolves Jun 30 · vol $5.1K

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.9pp shift. Resolution depends on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made — https://www.strategy.com/purchases.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 22.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.