The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 17¢
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
Sports · resolves Sep 28 · vol $71.42
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 17¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official mlb data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official MLB data.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.