The market moved
+3.5ppin 24h · now 56¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals
Sports · resolves May 22 · vol $11.3K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 56¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.