The market moved

-45.0ppin 24h · now

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Sports · resolves Jun 17 · vol $1.6M

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 45.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.