The market moved

+4.0ppin 24h · now 48¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets

Sports · resolves Jun 3 · vol $26.0K

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 48¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.