The market moved

+15.0ppin 24h · now 63¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

Sports · resolves Jul 27 · vol $311.95

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 63¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 15.0pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: MLB.com.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.