The market moved

+0.5ppin 24h · now 42¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees

Sports · resolves Jun 10 · vol $164.50

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 42¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.