The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 43¢
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)
Sports · resolves May 14 · vol $2.5K
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 43¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: MLB.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 4.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.