The market moved

+1.5ppin 24h · now 51¢

Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins

Sports · resolves May 21 · vol $8.51

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 51¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.