1st 5 Innings Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 50¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: MLB.com.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.