The market moved

-36.5ppin 24h · now 12¢

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5

Sports · resolves Jun 30 · vol $107.8K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 36.5pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: MLB.com.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.