The market moved
+62.1ppin 24h · now 96¢
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Sports · resolves Jul 12 · vol $1.4M
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 96¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 62.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.