The market moved

+8.5ppin 24h · now 45¢

San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners

Sports · resolves May 23 · vol $5.68

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 45¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.