St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 46¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: MLB.com.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 0.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.