The market moved
-3.5ppin 24h · now 38¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees
Sports · resolves Aug 10 · vol $275.83
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 38¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.