The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 50¢

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics

Sports · resolves May 21 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 50¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: MLB.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.