The market moved
+11.5ppin 24h · now 63¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5
Sports · resolves Aug 5 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 63¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: MLB.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 4.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.