The market moved
-18.0ppin 24h · now 50¢
MLP San Diego: SoCal Hard Eights vs Florida Smash
Other · resolves Jul 23 · vol $24.92
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 50¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.