The market moved
-27.0ppin 24h · now 23¢
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Minnesota United FC: Minnesota United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
Weather · resolves Aug 23 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 23¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 27.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.