The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

More border encounters in March vs. Feb?

Other · resolves Mar 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the first report of data for mar 2024 compared with the feb 2024 at the time of march's release, regardless of future re — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the first report of data for Mar 2024 compared with the Feb 2024 at the time of March's release, regardless of future re — https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-encounters).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.