The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January?

Other · resolves Mar 1 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the first report of data for feb 2024 compared with the jan 2024 at the time of february's release, regardless of future — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the first report of data for Feb 2024 compared with the Jan 2024 at the time of February's release, regardless of future — https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-encounters).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.