Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 94¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 9.3pp shift. Resolution depends on russian government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Russian government.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.