The market moved
+18.5ppin 24h · now 83¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of July 6 above $380?
Business · resolves Jul 10 · vol $32.14
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 83¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 18.5pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.