The market moved
-44.6ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on July 24?
Business · resolves Jul 24 · vol $11.02
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 44.6pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 3.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.