The market moved
+47.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on December 4?
Macro · resolves Dec 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 47.4pp shift. Resolution depends on nasdaq.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nasdaq.com — https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/quotes/historical.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.