The market moved

+53.9ppin 24h · now 100¢

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 15?

Business · resolves Jul 15 · vol $1.6K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 53.9pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.