The market moved

+14.9ppin 24h · now 100¢

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 1?

Business · resolves Jun 1 · vol $3.2K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.9pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.