The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 53¢
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 22?
Business · resolves Jun 22 · vol $1.9K
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 53¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 6.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.