The market moved

+1.5ppin 24h · now 52¢

Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5

Sports · resolves May 19 · vol $425.25

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 52¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on based on the score at halftime only — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: based on the score at halftime only.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 11.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.