The market moved

-31.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

1H Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)

Sports · resolves Feb 12 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 100¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 31.5pp shift. Resolution depends on based on the score at halftime only — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: based on the score at halftime only.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.